Baylor vs UCLA 12/27/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Baylor winning 56% of simulations, and UCLA 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Baylor commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. UCLA wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nick Florence is averaging 314 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Brett Hundley is averaging 283 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCLA +1 --- Over/Under line is 76
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